Stocks rise in early trading following good news on retail sales, jump in commodities prices

By Sara Lepro, AP
Monday, December 28, 2009

Stocks edge higher following retail sales data

NEW YORK — Better holiday sales and rising commodities prices pushed stocks to new 2009 highs.

Major indexes edged higher Monday after data showed shoppers spent more freely this holiday season, a good sign that consumers are feeling better about the economy.

Figures from MasterCard Advisors’ SpendingPulse, which track all forms of payment, show retail sales rose 3.6 percent from Nov. 1 through Dec. 24, compared with a 2.3 percent drop a year ago. Adjusting for an extra shopping day between Thanksgiving and Christmas, the number was closer to a 1 percent gain.

Consumer spending is one of the biggest drivers of economic growth and is vital to a sustained recovery.

Meanwhile, commodities prices rose as the dollar fell, giving a boost to energy and materials stocks.

Airline stocks fell, helping to keep the rest of the market in check, after two security incidents on Northwest flights this weekend. The Dow Jones transportation average was down nearly 1 percent.

With fewer traders in the market due to the holidays, and in the absence of any bad news, analysts say stocks are likely to drift higher during the final days of 2009.

“What’s going to stop this is a question on a lot of people’s minds,” said Lawrence Creatura, portfolio manager at Federated Clover Investment Advisors. “And the answer so far is nothing.”

Markets were closed on Friday for Christmas and will be closed again this Friday for New Year’s Day.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 5.59, or 0.1 percent, to 10,525.69. The Dow transportation average was off 38.83, or 0.9 percent, at 4,149.03.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 index was unchanged at 1,126.48, and the Nasdaq composite index rose 3.71, or 0.2 percent, to 2,289.40.

Bond prices came off their earlier lows after an auction of $44 billion of two-year notes saw sufficient demand. Bond prices have been falling in recent weeks, pushing yields higher as stocks continue to advance amid improving economic data.

In total, the Treasury Department is issuing $118 billion of debt this week. Investors have worried this year that demand for government debt would wane amid the massive amounts of supply. But so far, most auctions have gone smoothly.

The yield on the previously auctioned 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, rose to 3.83 percent from 3.80 percent Thursday.

Stocks added to moderate gains from last week, when major indexes ended at new highs for the year following upbeat reports on unemployment and durable goods orders. This week, readings on home prices and consumer confidence are among the few economic reports expected.

Stocks have managed to grind higher throughout December, but the gains have been more subdued than in recent months as investors have held back on making big moves going into the end of the year. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index is up 66.5 percent since hitting 12-year lows in March.

Many investors are starting to consider industries that have underperformed the broader market during the rally, as well as companies that are likely to do well even if the economy grows at a slower pace than anticipated.

“2009 was a very kind year. Most industries, most stocks went up,” Creatura said. “In 2010, equities will have to earn their valuation.”

Commodities prices rose as the dollar fell. Commodities are priced in U.S. dollars, so when the greenback is weak they become more attractive to foreign buyers.

The ICE Futures U.S. dollar index, which measures the dollar against other major currencies, slipped 0.1 percent. Oil prices gained 74 cents to $78.79 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gold prices also rose.

Shares of Delta Air Lines Inc., which owns Northwest, fell 55 cents, or 4.7 percent, to $11.22. A failed attack on a Northwest flight on Christmas Day and another incident on the same flight to Detroit from Amsterdam on Sunday raised security concerns over the weekend.

Advancing stocks just barely outnumbered decliners on the New York Stock Exchange where volume came to a low 313.9 million shares.

In other trading, the Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 0.74, or 0.1 percent, to 633.33.

Overseas, Japan’s Nikkei stock average rose 1.3 percent to its highest close since late August, boosted by encouraging news on factory production. In afternoon trading, Germany’s DAX index rose 0.7 percent, while France’s CAC-40 rose 0.8 percent. Britain’s FTSE 100 was closed for a holiday.

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