China’s Agricultural Bank rises in Hong Kong debut after tepid Shanghai response

By Min Lee, AP
Friday, July 16, 2010

China’s Agricultural Bank rises in Hong Kong debut

HONG KONG — Agricultural Bank of China rose in early trading on the Hong Kong stock exchange Friday, a day after a tepid reception in Shanghai, as the rural lender rolled out a massive initial public offering worth up to $22.1 billion.

The last of China’s “big four” state-owned commercial lenders to list started trading at HK$3.25 — 1.6 percent above its offer price of HK$3.20. It rose to HK$3.31 in the first hour but later fell to a midday close of HK$3.26.

The Hong Kong IPO marked the international portion of ABC’s dual-listing. Unlike the Shanghai bourse, the stock exchange in this semiautonomous southern Chinese territory is open to foreign investors.

On Thursday, Chinese investors were lukewarm toward the bank on its Shanghai debut, with the stock closing 1 percent above its IPO price at 2.71 yuan. It was trading at 2.68 yuan early Friday.

The bank is seen as weaker and less profitable than its peers, given that it operates a costly network of far-flung rural branches and its non-performing loan ratio is higher than other major banks at about 3 percent. Bank executives, however, tout its strong presence in the countryside as an untapped engine for growth.

Chinese stock prices have also been weighed down by concerns about an overflow of new shares, down 25 percent from the start of the year.

While Chinese banks are considered the world’s strongest after avoiding the credit turmoil in the West, local authorities have warned about a possible spike in bad loans after last year’s lending boom unleashed by a government stimulus plan. The ratings agency Fitch warned earlier this week that some Chinese banks may be downplaying the scale of their lending with complex deals.

Agricultural Bank Chairman Xiang Junbo said Friday he was happy with the market reaction given the current conditions. The bank had little choice in the timing of the listing because Chinese regulators ordered banks to replenish capital after last year’s lending spree.

“I think our stock has always been very popular. It hasn’t been unpopular. You should know better than I what state the global capital markets are in,” Xiang told reporters in Hong Kong shortly after listing ceremony on Friday.

“I’m very happy with the stock price today,” he said.

An analyst at French investment bank Societe Generale said the stock prices in Hong Kong and Shanghai were disappointing, but added it was too early to pass judgment on the IPO.

“Most people were looking for 5 percent (in gains),” said Todd Martin, the bank’s Hong Kong-based Asia Equity Strategist. “The markets were looking for instant satisfaction, but people need to give it a week.”

ABC sold 25.4 billion shares in Hong Kong and 22.2 billion shares in Shanghai, raising $19.2 billion. The total could rise to $22.1 billion if underwriters exercise an overallotment option by Aug. 5 to purchase additional shares, according to the prospectus. If that happens, the listing would eclipse the global IPO record of $21.9 billion set in October 2006 by another Chinese state-owned lender, Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd.

The bank has drawn strong backing from sovereign funds and other institutional investors still bullish about China’s prospects despite recent weakness in its stock markets.

Major foreign investors in the Hong Kong offering include some of the territory’s biggest tycoons and also Qatar Investment Authority ($2.8 billion), Kuwait Investment Authority ($800 million), Britain’s Standard Chartered Bank ($500 million), Dutch bank Radobank Nederland ($250 million), Australia’s Seven Group Holdings Ltd. ($250 million) and Singapore’s Temasek Holdings ($200 million).

Online:

Agricultural Bank of China: www.abchina.com/en/default.htm

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