US stocks follow world markets lower on fears Dubai debt problems will hurt economic rebound

Stocks tumble on fears about Dubai debt fallout

NEW YORK — Stocks skidded Friday as fear swept world markets that financial trouble in the Middle Eastern city-state of Dubai will upend a global economic recovery.

Major stock indexes fell more than 1 percent from 13-month highs, including the Dow Jones industrial average, which is down 125 points in a shortened trading day.

Stocks pulled off their worst levels but 10 stocks still fell for every one that rose at the New York Stock Exchange and all 30 stocks that make up the Dow fell.

Trading volume had been expected to be weak after the Thanksgiving holiday. Light trading can intensify swings in the market. Stock markets close three hours early, at 1 p.m. EST. Bond markets close at 2 p.m.

Investors’ broad retreat from riskier assets pushed Treasury prices higher. The dollar gained against most other major currencies as investors sought safety following steep drops in overseas markets. Commodities prices tumbled.

Investors are worried that a default by a government investment company in Dubai over $60 billion in debt payments could have a ripple effect in world financial markets. The fear is that losses in the small emirate, which has drawn wealthy tourists from around the globe in the past decade with its Las Vegas-in-the-Middle East appeal, could imperil a nascent economic rebound.

Worries about bad debt are fresh in investors’ minds after the collapse of the U.S. brokerage Lehman Brothers in September last year pushed the world overnight deeper into recession as banks halted lending on fears of a domino effect of bad loans.

“I think this is a sign of things to come,” said Dave Rovelli, managing director of trading at brokerage Canaccord Adams in New York. “Commercial real estate continues to go lower. People are going to continue to default on debt payments.”

Investors are being forced to ask whether the troubles in Dubai will usher in a new period of financial instability and put in danger an eight-month rally in the stock market. However, the ability of world markets to digest the troubles in Dubai without widespread panic could also boost investor confidence in the recovery in the financial markets in the past year.

The latest trouble on Wall Street comes as the U.S. kicks off the unofficial start to the holiday shopping season. Investors will be tracking news from retailers for insights into how much consumers will spend in the coming month. Consumer spending is the biggest driver of the U.S. economy.

In late morning trading, the Dow Jones industrial average fell 125.91, or 1.2 percent, to 10,338.49, after falling as much as 233 points in the first minutes of trading.

The broader Standard & Poor’s 500 index fell 14.45, or 1.3 percent, to 1,096.18, and the Nasdaq composite index fell 26.28, or 1.2 percent, to 2,149.77.

Energy, materials and financial stocks posted some of the biggest losses as commodities fell and investors worried about bank balance sheets.

Investors pushed into the safety of U.S. government debt. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.24 percent from 3.28 percent late Wednesday. The yield on the three-month T-bill, which is considered one of the safest investments, was flat at 0.03 percent.

The ICE Futures U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of foreign currencies, rose 0.4 percent.

Commodities, which are priced in dollars, fell as the dollar gained. The move reflected an unwinding of trades that relied on a weak dollar to finance purchases of higher-yielding assets. Spooked traders reversing the so-called “carry trade” were demanding safe-haven assets.

Investors have been pushing into riskier assets for months as they seek higher returns. U.S. interest rates are at record lows, making riskier investments like stocks an enticing alternative to the paltry earnings of safer investments like government debt.

Crude oil fell $3.23 to $74.73 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gold fell.

European markets, which fell more than 3 percent Thursday, turned higher after an early slide Friday. In afternoon trading, Britain’s FTSE 100 rose 0.2 percent, Germany’s DAX index rose 0.3 percent and France’s CAC-40 advanced 0.5 percent.

In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei stock average slid 3.2 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index tumbled 4.8 percent. South Korea’s benchmark dropped 4.7 percent.

Kevin Shacknofsky, portfolio manager of the Alpine Dynamic Dividend Fund in Purchase, N.Y., said the reaction and calming of currency markets and the rebound in Europe was a signal investors are taking Dubai’s problems in stride.

“The currency markets and the European markets are telling us that this not as bad as initially thought,” he said.

The worries about Dubai erupted amid a period of relative calm in U.S. markets. The Chicago Board Options Exchange’s Volatility Index, known as the market’s fear index, rose more than 2 percent to 23.18. On Wednesday it fell to its lowest level since August 2008. That signaled investors hadn’t been worried about big swings in the market.

The historical average of the VIX, as it’s known, is 18 to 20. It jumped to a record 89.5 in October last year around the height of the financial crisis.

The latest test of the market comes as major stock indicators had been up by more than 6 percent this month after stalling last month on worries about the economy. The S&P 500 index is up 64.2 percent from a 12-year low in March.

Trading volume in November has been light as many professional investors have pulled back from markets in hopes of locking in the big gains for 2009.

Rovelli said investors have been too quick to assume that the financial markets are on the mend.

“We’re way ahead of ourselves in this market. We’re in the eye of the storm now and we’ve been in it since March,” he said. “Now we’re in the back end of the storm.”

Volume on the New York Stock Exchange came to 299.5 million shares compared with 232.9 million shares traded at the same point Wednesday.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 7.96, or 1.3 percent, to 584.23.