Dow Jones industrials end 4-day win streak after Fed says recovery slows in some parts of US

By Stephen Bernard, AP
Wednesday, July 28, 2010

Dow ends 4-day win streak on Fed economic report

NEW YORK — Investors cashed in some of their recent gains Wednesday after the Federal Reserve gave them more confirmation that the economic recovery is slowing.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell almost 40 points after the Fed released its regional survey of the economy, a report known as the “beige book.” The Fed said economic growth has been steady during the summer in Cleveland and Kansas City, but has slowed in Atlanta and Chicago. The central bank described economic activity elsewhere as modest.

The report had some sobering news about manufacturing, which had been one of the strongest parts of the economy. While manufacturing expanded in most of the Fed’s 12 regions, about half — New York, Cleveland, Kansas City, Chicago, Atlanta and Richmond — said manufacturing had “slowed” or “leveled off.”

Investors weren’t surprised by the Fed report, but they also didn’t like hearing their own downbeat assessment of the economy confirmed by the central bank.

“It does reiterate that the economy is not bouncing back as much as we would hope,” Ryan Detrick, senior technical strategist chairman of Schaeffer’s Investment Research, said of the beige book.

But Detrick also said the report gave investors an excuse to cash in some of their gains from the market’s rally late last week and early this week. The Dow rose almost 420 points in four days as investors bought stocks in response to companies’ strong second-quarter earnings and upbeat forecasts for the rest of the year.

The Fed survey followed a disappointing Commerce Department durable goods orders report early in the day. Orders for durable goods, which are expected to last at least three years, fell 1 percent in June. Economists expected a 1 percent gain.

Investors have been trying in recent weeks to balance strong earnings and corporate outlooks with economic data that isn’t as encouraging. A drop in consumer confidence Tuesday helped push stocks mostly lower although another batch of robust earnings reports came out.

“The biggest issue the market is looking at is whether the soft patch in economic data is likely to continue,” said Michael Sheldon, chief market strategist RDM Financial Group. “Investors wonder if the strong earnings reports that we have seen are more backwards as opposed to forwards looking.”

The Dow fell 39.81, or 0.4 percent, to 10,497.88. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index fell 7.71, or 0.7 percent, to 1,106.13, while the Nasdaq composite index fell 23.69, or 1 percent, to 2,264.56.

Two stocks fell for every one that rose on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 4.1 billion shares versus 4.7 billion shares Tuesday.

Volume has been light even by summer standards, which has added to the day-to-day volatility. Many investors have been staying out of the market while they try to get a clearer sense of how the economy is faring.

Treasury prices, which get a boost from bad economic news, rose after the beige book was released. That sent interest rates lower. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 2.99 percent from 3.05 percent compared with late Tuesday. That yield helps set interest rates on mortgages and other consumer loans.

David Hefty, CEO of Cornerstone Wealth Management, said many investors are waiting for the government’s report on gross domestic product, the broadest measure of how the economy is doing, before making any big investing moves.

The report will be issued before trading opens on Friday. Economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters are forecasting that the GDP rose at an annual rate 2.3 percent from April-June. That would be down from the first quarter’s 2.7 percent.

Earnings reports were mixed Wednesday. Boeing Co. said its profit slipped from a year ago, but results still topped expectations. The airplane maker also didn’t adjust its outlook.

Sprint Nextel Corp. said it added subscribers to its network for the first time in three years during the second quarter as it improves customer service and retention. Its revenue slightly topped forecasts.

ConocoPhillips profit more than doubled as refining margins improved and oil prices rose.

Sprint Nextel rose 1 cent to $4.84. ConocoPhillips was unchanged at $54.44. Boeing fell $1.30 to $67.32.

Overseas, Britain’s FTSE 100 fell 0.9 percent, Germany’s DAX index dropped 0.5 percent, and France’s CAC-40 rose 0.1 percent. Japan’s Nikkei stock average jumped 2.7 percent.

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