World stocks down again after Portuguese budget vote despite surprise fall in US unemployment

By Pan Pylas, AP
Friday, February 5, 2010

World stocks down again after Portugal budget vote

LONDON — European and U.S. stock markets traded lower again Friday despite a surprise improvement in the U.S. unemployment rate, as investors fretted about the debt crisis enveloping Europe after Portugal’s lawmakers defeated the government over its deficit reduction plan.

In Europe, the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was down 91.77 points, or 1.8 percent, at 5,047.54, while Germany’s DAX fell 74.48 points, or 1.4 percent, to 5,458.76. The CAC-40 in France was 73.70 points, or 2 percent, lower at 3,615.55.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 56.75 points, or 0.6 percent, at 9,945.43 soon after the open while the broader Standard & Poor’s 500 index fell 5.85 points, or 0.6 percent, to 1,057.26.

Some stability emerged in the markets — at least the selling tide was stemmed — by the news that the U.S. unemployment rate dropped unexpectedly in January to 9.7 percent from 10 percent even as employers shed 20,000 jobs helped shore up investor confidence about the pace of the U.S. recovery.

The drop in the U.S. unemployment rate came as a welcome relief to markets battered over the last couple of days by mounting worries about the debt crisis afflicting Europe.

However, any relief proved short-lived.

The news that the opposition parties defeated the Portuguese government’s austerity plan provided another reminder, if any were needed, that European countries will find it extremely difficult to get a grip on their public finances.

Already, investors have severe doubts that Greece’s new government can deliver the cuts it has promised. The Greek plan, which has been cautiously backed by the European Commission and the European Central Bank, is to get the budget deficit down from around 12.7 percent of the country’s gross domestic product in 2009 to below 3 percent in 2012.

But with strikes looming — customs and tax officials have already begun a 48 hour strike in protest at the planned austerity measures — investors remain skeptical at best.

“It has been a worry for Greece for weeks but it is now spreading like wildfire, driving equity markets lower, causing further concerns both about medium-term growth prospects and in currency markets,” said Kit Juckes, chief economist at ECU Group.

Unsurprisingly, those concerns have dogged the stock markets in Greece, Portugal and Spain all week. Greece’s main composite index was down another 3.7 percent, while Portugal’s PSI was 1.6 percent lower while Spain’s IBEX fell 1.1 percent.

All this uncertainty is hitting the euro hard as investors think a bailout of the periphery countries is becoming more likely by the European Union.

The euro fell below $1.37 for the first time since May last year, but recovered after the U.S. jobs data prompted a modest improvement in risk appetite.

However, the renewed focus on Europe’s debt difficulties pushed it back below $1.37 again — the euro has been undermined by concerns about credit problems in its peripheral members ever since the issue reared its ugly head in November, while the dollar has attracted support through its supposed safe haven status during times of risk aversion.

By midafternoon London time, the euro was down 0.5 percent on the day at $1.3660.

Commodity and energy prices have also been hit hard by the meltdown in risk assets — benchmark crude for March delivery was down a further 2 cents at $73.12 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange after losing $3.84 overnight, while gold fell $2.10 ounce to $1,060.30.

The focus at this weekend’s Group of Seven meeting of finance ministers and central bankers from the world’s leading industrialized economies has suddenly become a point of interest in the markets — with the G-20 now the world’s main forum for economic cooperation, the G-7 was widely thought to be superseded.

Earlier in Asia, stock markets responded to the massive falls recorded in the previous session in Europe and the U.S., where the Dow Jones industrial average slid 2.6 percent, its worst performance in nine months.

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 sank 2.9 percent, or 298.89 points, to 10,057.09, while China’s Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.9 percent, or 55.91, to 2,939.40. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng buckled 3.3 percent to 19,665.08.

Elsewhere, South Korea’s Kospi slid 3.1 percent to 1,567.12, Taiwan’s market dived 4.3 percent and Australia’s S&P/ASX benchmark dropped 2.3 percent.

____

AP Business Writer Joe McDonald in Beijing contributed to this report.

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